Mets vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 7, 2023

The New York Mets (17-17) and Colorado Rockies (13-21) play on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET at Citi Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

The Mets are favored (-200 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Rockies (+170). The total in the game is 9 total runs.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 7, 2023 at 11:15 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -200 +170 9

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 25 times this season and won 13, or 52%, of those games.
  • New York has entered eight games this season favored by -200 or more and is 3-5 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 15 of its 35 chances.
  • The Mets are 15-20-0 ATS in their 35 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 9
ERA 5.20
K/9 8.5

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (40.7%) in those games.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 5-9 when favored by +170 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 37% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 14 of its 34 opportunities.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread record of 15-19-0 in 34 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 7
ERA 3.99
K/9 7.3

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi

  • Lucchesi’s team is 1-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs in four innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • Lucchesi’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-2.
  • Lucchesi’s team is 2-1 when he starts this season.
  • Games Lucchesi has started this season hit the over three times in four chances.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jeurys Familia 14 12.2 9 6.39 1 2
Drew Smith 14 13 18 2.08 7 0
Adam Ottavino 13 12 14 3.75 2 4
David Robertson 13 14.1 18 0.63 3 6
Jeff Brigham 8 9 11 4.00 1 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Ryan Feltner

  • The Rockies will send Feltner (2-2) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.45 ERA and 30 strikeouts through 30 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Feltner is aiming for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
  • The Rockies have a 3-2 record in Feltner’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Feltner’s team has compiled a 4-2 record in his six starts.
  • Feltner has had six starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those outings.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 16 24 25 3.00 1 0
Pierce Johnson 14 13.1 20 4.73 0 5
Justin Lawrence 14 17.1 18 1.56 4 0
Brad Hand 13 11.2 17 3.86 0 0
Brent Suter 13 20.1 17 0.89 1 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have hit two or more long balls in nine games this season, and are 6-3 in those outings.
  • New York has gone 4-2 in its six games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled at least eight hits in 17 games this season, and is 11-6 in those contests.
  • New York is 14-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mets are 6-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They have won four of the five games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Colorado has gone 4-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 12 of the 19 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Colorado has a 10-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 4-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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