The Miami Marlins (16-18) bring a 16-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Chicago Cubs (17-16), at 2:20 PM ET on Sunday.
The Marlins are favored (-115) in a projected evenly matched game against the Cubs (-102). The game’s total is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 7, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -115 | -102 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 12 games this season and won six (50%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 5-3 when favored by -115 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of its 34 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 13-21-0 in 34 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.38 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have come away with six wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has a mark of 6-5 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 13 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 33 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 19-14-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.11 |
| K/9 | 6.3 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara’s team has not covered in any of his six starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
- Alcantara has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Alcantara’s team has been victorious in 25% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-3.
- In games Alcantara has started, his team is 1-5.
- In Alcantara’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 15 | 14.2 | 17 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 14 | 20 | 25 | 2.25 | 5 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 13 | 13 | 15 | 4.15 | 0 | 5 |
| Matt Barnes | 13 | 15 | 16 | 3.60 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 13 | 13.2 | 13 | 1.98 | 5 | 1 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Hayden Wesneski
- Wesneski gets the start for the Cubs, his sixth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 28 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Wesneski will try to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.7 frames per outing.
- The Cubs were the underdog on the moneyline for two Wesneski starts this season — they split the games.
- Wesneski’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Wesneski has started five games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 14 | 14 | 23 | 1.29 | 7 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 14 | 13 | 15 | 2.77 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Boxberger | 13 | 11 | 9 | 4.09 | 1 | 2 |
| Michael Fulmer | 13 | 13.1 | 16 | 6.08 | 3 | 1 |
| Keegan Thompson | 12 | 18.1 | 14 | 2.95 | 3 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 4-3 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Miami’s .374 slugging percentage ranks 24th in MLB.
- The team is 13-11 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Miami is 7-1 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in four games this season, and are 2-2 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 8-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago is undefeated in seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-7.
- In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 12-3.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-4
Marlins vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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