Cardinals vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 6, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (15-17) will look to Riley Greene, currently on a 10-game hitting streak, against the St. Louis Cardinals (10-24) at 2:15 PM ET on Sunday, at Busch Stadium.

The Cardinals are favored at home (-194) against the Tigers (+164). The total in the game is set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of May 7, 2023 at 11:16 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -194 +164 9.5

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 19 games this season and won eight (42.1%) of those contests.
  • This season St. Louis has won one of its four games when favored by at least -194 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • So far this season, St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of 34 games with a total.
  • The Cardinals are 12-22-0 against the spread in their 34 chances this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 10
ERA 5.17
K/9 9.2

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (46.9%) in those contests.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 37.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 17 of its 33 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 20-13-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 10
ERA 4.20
K/9 7.2

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Steven Matz

  • Matz and his team have not covered in any of the six games with a spread he’s started this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Matz has made five starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
  • Matz’s team has been upset in each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • Matz and his team have lost each of the six games he’s started this season.
  • Games Matz has started this season hit the over two times in six chances.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 16 16 18 3.94 4 0
Jordan Hicks 14 13 22 7.62 2 0
Chris Stratton 13 20 19 3.15 0 0
Génesis Cabrera 13 13 20 2.77 2 0
Giovanny Gallegos 12 12.2 12 2.84 2 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Alex Faedo

  • Faedo takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Tigers.
  • The 27-year-old righty last appeared Tuesday, July 12 against the Kansas City Royals, when he started and went 1 2/3 innings.
  • Faedo and his team had a 5-3 record in games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • His team finished with a 5-6 record in games he pitched in last season.
  • In 11 opportunities with a run total set by sportsbooks last season, the games he appeared in went over five times.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 16 15.2 21 1.15 1 6
Jason Foley 15 15.2 11 1.72 8 2
José Cisnero 13 12 10 3.00 4 0
Chasen Shreve 12 11.2 10 6.94 2 0
Mason Englert 10 18.2 17 4.82 2 0

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals are 7-5 this season in games when they crush two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has gone 5-2 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits in 21 games this season, and is 10-11 in those contests.
  • St. Louis is 8-4 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Cardinals have gone 4-8 over the 12 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Detroit has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 11-3 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Detroit has a 9-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-4

Cardinals vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-194)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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