Cardinals vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 6, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (14-17) will look to Javier Baez, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the St. Louis Cardinals (10-23) at 2:15 PM ET on Saturday, at Busch Stadium.

The Tigers (+159 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Cardinals (-188). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 6, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -188 +159 9

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 18 games this season and won eight (44.4%) of those contests.
  • This season St. Louis has won one of its four games when favored by at least -188 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 65.3%.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of 33 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals are 12-21-0 against the spread in their 33 chances this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 9
ERA 5.29
K/9 9.3

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 14 wins in the 31 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 6-7 when favored by +159 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 16 of its 32 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 32 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 19-13-0 against the spread.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 4.04
K/9 7.5

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright

  • Wainwright and his team were 16-16-0 ATS in his 32 appearances with a spread last season.
  • The 41-year-old righty last pitched Sunday, Oct. 2 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, tossing 4 2/3 innings as the starter.
  • Wainwright appeared in 19 games last season as the moneyline favorite and his team finished with a record of 12-7 in those contests.
  • The 41-year-old made 32 appearances last year and his team went 17-15 in those games.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 15 15 17 4.20 3 0
Jordan Hicks 14 13 22 7.62 2 0
Chris Stratton 12 18.1 16 3.44 0 0
Génesis Cabrera 12 12.2 20 2.13 1 0
Giovanny Gallegos 11 10.2 11 3.37 2 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Spencer Turnbull

  • The Tigers will send Turnbull (1-4) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-4 with a 6.84 ERA and 18 strikeouts through 26 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went four innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Turnbull will try to record his fourth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.4 innings per appearance.
  • The Tigers have a 2-4 record in Turnbull’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Turnbull’s six starts, his team is 2-4.
  • Turnbull has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those games.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 16 15.2 21 1.15 1 5
Jason Foley 15 15.2 11 1.72 7 2
José Cisnero 12 10.1 10 3.48 3 0
Chasen Shreve 11 10.1 8 7.84 2 0
Mason Englert 10 18.2 17 4.82 1 0

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have hit at least two dingers in 11 games this season, and are 7-4 in those contests.
  • St. Louis has racked up five or more extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 5-2 in those contests.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits 20 times this season, and has a 10-10 record in those games.
  • St. Louis is 8-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Cardinals are 4-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They are 4-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Detroit has won four of its five games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 10-3 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In nine games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 8-1.
  • They have won three of their seven games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cardinals vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-188)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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