The Seattle Mariners (15-17) and Houston Astros (17-15) do battle on Saturday at 9:40 PM ET.
The Astros are an underdog away (+105) against the Mariners (-123). The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of May 6, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -123 | +105 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 22 times this season and won 11, or 50%, of those games.
- This season Seattle has won nine of its 17 games, or 52.9%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of 32 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 15-17-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (72.7%) in those games.
- This season, Houston has come away with a win three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in 17 of its 32 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros are 16-16-0 against the spread in their 32 games that had a posted line this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Marco Gonzales
- Gonzales and his team are 4-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in three innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday.
- Gonzales has started five games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings four times. He averages 4.8 innings per appearance.
- Gonzales’ team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Gonzales’ team has won three of his five starts this season.
- In Gonzales’ five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 18 | 15.1 | 30 | 5.28 | 3 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 17 | 17 | 22 | 2.65 | 0 | 9 |
| Trevor Gott | 17 | 16.1 | 17 | 2.20 | 5 | 0 |
| Gabe Speier | 15 | 12.2 | 10 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Penn Murfee | 15 | 13 | 15 | 1.38 | 1 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France
- France makes his first start of the season for the Astros.
- The righty is pitching in his MLB debut. He’s 2 years old.
- France and his team were underdogs on the moneyline each game he pitched a season ago.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 16 | 16.1 | 26 | 1.65 | 4 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 14 | 13.1 | 10 | 3.38 | 0 | 3 |
| Rafael Montero | 14 | 13 | 18 | 2.77 | 2 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 13 | 16 | 17 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 12 | 13 | 15 | 2.08 | 2 | 1 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 6-3 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
- Seattle has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 7-5 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Seattle has an 11-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 7-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in nine games this season and are 5-4 in those matchups.
- Houston has won four of its five games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 18 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-4.
- In 17 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 15-2.
- They have a 4-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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