Giants vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 6, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (18-14) hope to stop their five-game losing run against the San Francisco Giants (14-17), at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.

The favored Giants (-170 on the moneyline) take the field at home against the Brewers (+144). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 6, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -170 +144 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have been favored 10 times and won four of those games.
  • San Francisco has played as favorites of -170 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • Games involving San Francisco has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 15 of 31 chances this season.
  • In 31 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 14-17-0 ATS.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 18
ERA 4.66
K/9 8.4

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have come away with seven wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +144 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 14 of its 32 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 32 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 15-17-0 against the spread.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 9
ERA 3.87
K/9 8.3

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Sunday.
  • Cobb will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • Cobb’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Cobb’s team is 3-3 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Cobb have a 2-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tyler Rogers 14 17.1 16 2.60 4 1
Scott Alexander 14 11.1 7 6.35 2 0
John Brebbia 14 13.1 20 5.40 4 0
Camilo Doval 14 14 19 2.57 0 5
Taylor Rogers 13 9.2 7 6.52 1 1

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea

  • Rea (0-2 with a 4.79 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Rea will look to last five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The Brewers were named the moneyline underdog for two Rea starts this season — they won both.
  • Rea’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Rea has had four starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those outings finished over the total.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 16 12.1 7 5.11 4 0
Peter Strzelecki 16 15 10 4.20 8 0
Joel Payamps 14 14.1 12 3.14 2 1
Devin Williams 10 9.1 14 0.00 0 5
Bryse Wilson 10 17.2 19 2.04 1 2

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit at least two home runs in 15 games this season, and are 9-6 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has put up at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those contests.
  • The club is 7-6 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • San Francisco is 10-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn five or more walks in 10 games this season, and are 6-4 in those contests.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 12 games this season and are 9-3 in those matchups.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in three games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 13-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 13-2.
  • They have won nine of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Giants vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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