Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres (18-15) into a contest versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (19-14), following his two-homer showing in a 5-2 victory over the Dodgers, starting at 8:40 PM ET on Saturday.
An expected close matchup pits the Dodgers (-110 on the moneyline) against the Padres (-108). The over/under for this game is 8.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 6, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -110 | -108 | 8 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have been favorites in 31 games this season and won 18 (58.1%) of those contests.
- Los Angeles is 18-13 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
- The Dodgers have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 33 opportunities.
- The Dodgers are 16-17-0 ATS in their 33 games with a spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have come away with six wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, San Diego has won six of 11 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of its 33 opportunities.
- The Padres are 17-16-0 against the spread in their 33 games that had a posted line this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.04 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Dustin May
- May’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, April 29, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- May has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- May’s team is 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- May’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by May have a 3-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 14 | 13 | 9 | 7.62 | 2 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 14 | 13 | 11 | 2.77 | 2 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 13 | 15 | 20 | 3.60 | 1 | 0 |
| Shelby Miller | 13 | 14.2 | 14 | 1.23 | 0 | 1 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 13 | 12.1 | 11 | 1.46 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- The Padres are sending Snell (1-4) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-4 with a 5.28 ERA and 33 strikeouts through 29 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last appeared on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Snell will look to go five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 4.8 frames per outing.
- The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for three Snell starts this season — they lost each time.
- Snell’s team is 1-5 in his six starts.
- Snell’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of six contests.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 15 | 16 | 18 | 4.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 15 | 14 | 10 | 3.21 | 5 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 15 | 15 | 20 | 0.60 | 0 | 11 |
| Luís Garcia | 14 | 13.2 | 12 | 6.59 | 6 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 12 | 17.1 | 16 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers have a 13-4 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Los Angeles has collected at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 11-2 in those contests.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 18 times this season, and has a 15-3 record in those games.
- Los Angeles is 18-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Dodgers are 13-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They are 7-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 6-1.
- They have a record of 13-2 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- San Diego has won 14 of its 16 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-5
Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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