Mets vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 6, 2023

The New York Mets (17-16) take the field against the Colorado Rockies (12-21) on Saturday at Citi Field, at 4:10 PM ET.

The Rockies are an underdog (+184 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Mets (-221). The game’s over/under is 8.5.

The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of May 6, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -221 +184 8.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have been favored 24 times and won 13, or 54.2%, of those games.
  • New York is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -221 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of 34 opportunities.
  • The Mets have an ATS record of 15-19-0 in 34 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 9
ERA 5.20
K/9 7.9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 10 wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Colorado has won one of eight games when listed as at least +184 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 35.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of its 33 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 14-19-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 7
ERA 3.78
K/9 7.0

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill

  • Megill’s team is 4-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Monday.
  • In six starts this season, Megill has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • Megill’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Megill’s team has won four of his six starts.
  • Games Megill has started this season hit the over one time in six chances.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew Smith 14 13 18 2.08 7 0
Jeurys Familia 14 12.2 9 6.39 1 2
David Robertson 13 14.1 18 0.63 3 6
Adam Ottavino 13 12 14 3.75 2 4
Jeff Brigham 7 8 11 4.50 1 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Austin Gomber

  • Gomber (2-4 with a 7.57 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 27 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rockies, his seventh of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the left-hander tossed six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • Gomber will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.5 innings per outing.
  • The Rockies are 2-3 in Gomber’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gomber’s team is 2-4 over his six starts.
  • Gomber’s starts went over the run total three times in six games with a set total this season.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Bird 15 22 22 3.27 0 0
Justin Lawrence 14 17.1 18 1.56 4 0
Brent Suter 13 20.1 17 0.89 1 0
Pierce Johnson 13 12.1 18 5.11 0 4
Brad Hand 13 11.2 17 3.86 0 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets are 6-3 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • New York is 4-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits 17 times this season, and has an 11-6 record in those games.
  • New York has a 14-3 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mets have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 4-1 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has gone 4-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 18 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 11-7.
  • Colorado has won nine of its 12 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won three of their five games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-221)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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