Reds vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 6, 2023

The Chicago White Sox (11-22) visit the Cincinnati Reds (13-19) at 6:40 PM ET on Saturday.

The favored Reds (-128 moneyline odds) host the White Sox (+110). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 6, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Reds -128 +110 9.5

Reds Betting Insights

  • This season, the Reds have been favored nine times and won five of those games.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 3-2 when favored by -128 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 17 of its 32 chances.
  • The Reds are 19-13-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 7
ERA 4.91
K/9 10.1

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win six times (25%) in those contests.
  • Chicago has a mark of 4-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 33 opportunities.
  • The White Sox have posted a record of 14-19-0 against the spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 10
ERA 5.97
K/9 10.7

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Nick Lodolo

  • Lodolo’s team is 4-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs in five innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • In six starts, Lodolo has pitched through or past the fifth inning four times. He has a season average of 5.0 frames per outing.
  • Lodolo’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
  • In games Lodolo has started, his team is 3-3.
  • In games Lodolo has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Derek Law 15 14.2 17 3.68 2 1
Buck Farmer 14 16.1 12 3.31 2 0
Ian Gibaut 14 12 13 3.00 3 1
Alex Young 13 14 19 2.57 3 0
Reiver Sanmartin 13 12.2 12 5.68 1 0

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Mike Clevinger

  • Clevinger (2-2) takes the mound first for the White Sox in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 4.60 ERA in 29 1/3 innings pitched, with 26 strikeouts.
  • The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he went five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Clevinger will look to continue a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.9 innings per appearance).
  • The White Sox are 2-3 in Clevinger’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Clevinger’s team has won three of his six starts.
  • Clevinger has started six games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jimmy Lambert 16 15 21 6.00 3 0
Reynaldo López 16 14.1 21 8.16 1 4
Aaron Bummer 15 11 13 8.18 5 0
Gregory Santos 15 16.2 17 1.62 1 0
Kendall Graveman 14 13.1 15 4.73 6 0

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds have a 3-1 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
  • Cincinnati’s .357 slugging percentage ranks 27th in the majors.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 19 games this season, and is 8-11 in those contests.
  • Cincinnati is 10-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Reds have drawn five or more walks in nine games this season, and are 5-4 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 3-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 2-2.
  • They have a record of 8-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Chicago has a 7-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In five games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-3

Reds vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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