Anthony Santander leads the Baltimore Orioles (22-10) into a contest against the Atlanta Braves (22-11), a game after homering twice in a 9-4 victory over the Braves, at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Orioles are an underdog (+208 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Braves (-249). The over/under in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 6, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -249 | +208 | 8 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 28 times and won 18, or 64.3%, of those games.
- Atlanta has been at least -249 moneyline favorites five times this season and won each of those games.
- The Braves have a 71.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 33 games with a total.
- In 33 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 17-16-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been underdogs in 13 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (53.8%) in those contests.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Baltimore this season with a +208 moneyline set for this game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 32.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 32 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles have posted a record of 19-13-0 against the spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.52 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw five innings against the New York Mets, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Strider has started six games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Strider’s team is undefeated in the six games he’s started this season.
- In Strider’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 16 | 15.2 | 19 | 7.47 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 16 | 13 | 14 | 2.77 | 8 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 15 | 14.1 | 17 | 3.14 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 13 | 13.2 | 18 | 3.29 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 12 | 11 | 15 | 4.09 | 2 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish (1-1) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his fifth start of the season. He has a 6.14 ERA in 14 2/3 innings pitched, with 14 strikeouts.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Bradish will look to record his second game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.6 innings per appearance.
- The Orioles were the underdog on the moneyline for one Bradish start this season — they won.
- Bradish’s team is 3-1 in his four starts.
- Bradish has had four starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and one of those outings finished over the total.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 16 | 15.2 | 22 | 1.72 | 7 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 15 | 14.2 | 28 | 1.84 | 0 | 7 |
| Cionel Pérez | 15 | 12 | 10 | 5.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 14 | 17.2 | 17 | 4.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 14 | 11.1 | 16 | 2.38 | 7 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 12-1 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Atlanta has won each of its nine games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits in 22 games this season, and is 19-3 in those contests.
- Atlanta is undefeated in the 19 games this season when it has put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 9-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 10-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-1.
- They have won 14 of the 20 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has a 17-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won eight of their nine games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-249)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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