Bryan Reynolds rides a 10-game hitting streak into the Pittsburgh Pirates’ (20-13) game against the Toronto Blue Jays (19-14), at 6:35 PM ET on Saturday, at PNC Park.
The Blue Jays are a favorite (-154) at the Pirates (+131). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 6, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -154 | +131 | 8.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 14, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Toronto has entered 14 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 10-4 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of 33 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 17-16-0 in 33 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 13, or 52%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 5-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +131 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 16 of its 33 opportunities.
- In 33 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 20-13-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- Berrios and his team are 2-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on 11 hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Berrios has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Berrios’ team has won 25% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-3).
- Berrios’ team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Berrios has started this season hit the over three times in six chances.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 17 | 16.2 | 21 | 1.62 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 15 | 13.1 | 17 | 3.38 | 0 | 9 |
| Yimi Garcia | 15 | 15 | 18 | 5.40 | 6 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 14 | 10.1 | 9 | 0.87 | 3 | 1 |
| Anthony Bass | 12 | 10.1 | 8 | 6.97 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo (2-2 with a 4.78 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Pirates, his seventh of the season.
- The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw 2 1/3 innings, allowing seven earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Oviedo is looking to secure his fifth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in three of Oviedo’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
- Oviedo’s team has put together a 3-3 record over his six starts.
- Oviedo has started six contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 14 | 14 | 15 | 3.21 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 14 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 9 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 14 | 15.2 | 10 | 2.30 | 3 | 2 |
| Dauri Moreta | 13 | 15 | 21 | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 11 | 13.2 | 14 | 1.98 | 2 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have a 6-3 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
- Toronto has won each of its four games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 24 times this season, and has a 16-8 record in those games.
- Toronto is 11-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have gone 4-3 over the seven games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all 13 of their games this year when they hit two or more home runs as a team.
- Pittsburgh has collected five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season and won each of them.
- In 18 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-4.
- Pittsburgh has a 13-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-3
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+131)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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