The Tampa Bay Rays (27-6) will aim to keep a four-game win streak going when they host the New York Yankees (17-16) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Yankees are road underdogs (+158) at the Rays (-185). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of May 6, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -185 | +158 | 7.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 27 (84.4%) of those contests.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 14-1, a 93.3% win rate, when favored by -185 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of 33 games with a total.
- The Rays are 22-11-0 ATS in their 33 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in one of the eight contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has played as an underdog of +158 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 38.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 11 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 33 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 16-17-0 against the spread.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Drew Rasmussen
- Rasmussen and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- In six starts, Rasmussen has pitched through or past the fifth inning four times. He has a season average of 5.3 frames per outing.
- Rasmussen’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Rasmussen’s team is 3-3 when he starts this season.
- In Rasmussen’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 14 | 13.1 | 17 | 1.35 | 4 | 3 |
| Colin Poche | 14 | 12 | 6 | 1.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Garrett Cleavinger | 14 | 11.1 | 14 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 12 | 18.1 | 15 | 3.44 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalen Beeks | 9 | 14.1 | 8 | 6.91 | 1 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo German
- German gets the start for the Yankees, his seventh of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.46 ERA and 39 strikeouts through 34 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Monday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he tossed 8 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
- German will try to continue a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing).
- The Yankees were the moneyline underdog for one German start this season — they lost.
- Germán’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
- German has had six starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and one of those outings hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 13 | 11.1 | 12 | 2.38 | 3 | 0 |
| Clay Holmes | 12 | 10 | 12 | 4.50 | 0 | 4 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 12 | 11.2 | 13 | 3.09 | 1 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 12 | 14 | 20 | 1.93 | 3 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 11 | 15.2 | 17 | 4.60 | 1 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have hit at least two long balls in 19 games this season, and are 17-2 in those outings.
- Tampa Bay has gone 16-1 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 25 times this season, and has a 21-4 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 20-1 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in nine games this season, and won each time.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 11 games this season and are 8-3 in those matchups.
- New York ranks 21st in the majors with a .381 slugging percentage.
- They have won 10 of the 16 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- New York has a 8-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 6-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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