The Boston Red Sox (20-14) will look to Masataka Yoshida, on a 15-game hitting streak, against the Philadelphia Phillies (15-18) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Red Sox are an away underdog (+135) at the Phillies (-159). The over/under for the game is 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 6, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -159 | +135 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 17 times and won nine, or 52.9%, of those games.
- Philadelphia is 5-3 this season when entering a game favored by -159 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of its 33 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 14-19-0 ATS in their 33 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have come away with 10 wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Boston has won four of six games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of its 34 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 34 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 22-12-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter
- Falter’s team is 2-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Houston Astros.
- Falter has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 5.4 frames when he pitches.
- Falter’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Falter’s team is 1-5 when he starts this season.
- The teams have gone under the point total set by bookmakers in each of the six games Falter has started this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 16 | 14.1 | 18 | 5.02 | 6 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 15 | 16.2 | 16 | 2.16 | 1 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 15 | 13 | 14 | 5.54 | 4 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 14 | 12 | 17 | 8.25 | 3 | 3 |
| José Alvarado | 13 | 13.1 | 24 | 2.03 | 3 | 5 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Corey Kluber
- Kluber makes the start for the Red Sox, his seventh of the season. He is 1-4 with a 6.44 ERA and 27 strikeouts over 29 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Kluber is trying for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in four of Kluber’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
- Kluber’s team has won two of his six starts.
- Kluber’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in six games with a set total this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 16 | 15.2 | 13 | 8.04 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 16 | 15.2 | 20 | 2.30 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 14 | 14.2 | 10 | 5.52 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 12 | 22.1 | 17 | 1.61 | 3 | 1 |
| Kaleb Ort | 12 | 12.1 | 12 | 7.30 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit two or more homers in nine games this season, and are 8-1 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 8-2 in those contests.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 23 games this season, and is 12-11 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a 9-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 3-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 10-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- In 21 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 16-5.
- Boston has won 18 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 7-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+135)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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