The Cleveland Guardians (14-18) will aim to stop a three-game losing streak when hosting the Minnesota Twins (19-14) at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Guardians are projected as a tight favorite (-109 to win on the moneyline) against the Twins (-109). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of May 6, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Favorite | -109 | -109 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won nine out of the 20 games, or 45%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 9-11, a 45% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have a 52.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 12 of 32 chances this season.
- The Guardians are 10-22-0 ATS in their 32 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
- This year, Minnesota has won two of 10 games when listed as at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 14 of 33 chances this season.
- The Twins are 19-14-0 against the spread in their 33 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen
- Allen has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits against the Boston Red Sox.
- Allen has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Allen’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Allen’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Allen this season, the teams hit the over once.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 17 | 16.1 | 9 | 2.20 | 0 | 10 |
| James Karinchak | 16 | 15.1 | 19 | 5.87 | 6 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 14 | 12.2 | 14 | 1.42 | 4 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 12 | 11.1 | 9 | 1.59 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 11 | 14 | 15 | 0.64 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray makes the start for the Twins, his seventh of the season. He is 4-0 with a .77 ERA and 41 strikeouts through 35 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Gray will look to go five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
- The Twins have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Gray starts this season.
- In Gray’s six starts, his team is 5-1.
- Gray’s starts went over the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 16 | 15 | 11 | 1.20 | 6 | 2 |
| Griffin Jax | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 14 | 12.2 | 16 | 2.13 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 11 | 13.2 | 15 | 5.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 10 | 12.1 | 12 | 5.11 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have racked up two or more homers in four games this season, and are 3-1 in those outings.
- Cleveland has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 15 times this season, and has a 9-6 record in those games.
- Cleveland is 8-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians are 8-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They are 12-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Minnesota has collected five or more extra-base hits in five games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 14-4 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota has a 11-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won five of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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