The Chicago Cubs (16-16) aim to prolong their 12-game win streak when they square off against the Miami Marlins (16-17) on Saturday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs are favored at home (-179) versus the Marlins (+151). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The insights in this article use the latest odds as of May 6, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -179 | +151 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
- This season Chicago has won one of its four games when favored by at least -179 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 64.2% chance to win.
- Games involving Chicago has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 13 of 32 chances this season.
- The Cubs have an ATS record of 18-14-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.43 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been victorious in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Miami has won three of five games when listed as at least +151 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 39.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of its 33 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 13-20-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- Smyly and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in seven innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Smyly has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Smyly’s team is 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Smyly has started, his team is 4-2.
- Out of Smyly’s six starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 14 | 14 | 23 | 1.29 | 7 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 13 | 11.1 | 14 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 13 | 13.1 | 16 | 6.08 | 3 | 1 |
| Brad Boxberger | 13 | 11 | 9 | 4.09 | 1 | 2 |
| Julian Merryweather | 11 | 11.2 | 14 | 6.94 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Matt Barnes
- The Marlins are sending Barnes (1-0) out to make his second start of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Friday, the righty threw one scoreless inning against the Chicago Cubs while surrendering one hit.
- The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for one Barnes start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Barnes’ lone start with a total this season went under.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 14 | 13.2 | 15 | 5.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 13 | 13.2 | 13 | 1.98 | 5 | 1 |
| Matt Barnes | 13 | 14 | 14 | 3.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 13 | 19 | 23 | 2.37 | 4 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 12 | 12.2 | 14 | 2.84 | 0 | 5 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have hit at least two long balls in 10 games this season, and are 8-2 in those contests.
- Chicago is undefeated in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 24 times this season, and has a 17-7 record in those games.
- Chicago has a 12-3 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cubs are 5-4 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami’s .376 slugging percentage is 23rd in baseball.
- In 24 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 13-11.
- Miami has a 7-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-179)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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