The Boston Red Sox (19-14) will look to Masataka Yoshida, currently on a 14-game hitting streak, against the Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Red Sox (+134 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Phillies (-159). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of May 5, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -159 | +134 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won nine out of the 16 games, or 56.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 5-3 when favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 61.4% chance to win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of 32 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 14-18-0 ATS in their 32 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.65 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (50%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has been victorious five times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 23 of 33 chances this season.
- The Red Sox are 21-12-0 against the spread in their 33 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 6.7 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler and his team have a record of 4-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he allowed three hits in six scoreless innings against the Houston Astros.
- Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Wheeler’s team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Wheeler’s team has won four of his six starts this season.
- Games started by Wheeler have a 3-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 15 | 13 | 14 | 5.54 | 4 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 15 | 13.1 | 17 | 5.40 | 6 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 14 | 16 | 16 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 14 | 12 | 17 | 8.25 | 3 | 3 |
| José Alvarado | 13 | 13.1 | 24 | 2.03 | 3 | 5 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale
- Sale (2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Red Sox, his seventh of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the lefty threw 6 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Sale will try to go five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing.
- The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for one Sale start this season — they lost.
- Sale’s team has compiled a 4-2 record in his six starts.
- Sale has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those matchups.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 16 | 15.2 | 13 | 8.04 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 16 | 15.2 | 20 | 2.30 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 13 | 13.2 | 9 | 5.93 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 12 | 22.1 | 17 | 1.61 | 3 | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2.00 | 5 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 8-1 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Philadelphia has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 8-2 in those outings.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 22 times this season, and has a 12-10 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 9-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in five games this season, and are 3-2 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 13 games this season and are 10-3 in those matchups.
- Boston has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 20 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 15-5.
- In 20 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 17-3.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-2
Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+134)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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