Marcell Ozuna carries a two-game homer streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (22-10) game versus the Baltimore Orioles (21-10) at 7:20 PM ET on Friday, at Truist Park.
The Braves are favored (-217 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Orioles (+180). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 5, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -217 | +180 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 18, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Atlanta has been at least -217 moneyline favorites six times this season and won each of those games.
- The Braves have a 68.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 32 chances.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 17-15-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 3.60 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (50%) in those games.
- Oddsmakers have given Baltimore the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +180 moneyline listed for this contest.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 35.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 18 of its 31 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 31 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 18-13-0 against the spread.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.52 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- Fried and his team are 2-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, April 28, when he tossed five innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Fried has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Fried’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Fried’s team has won two of his three starts this season.
- In the three games Fried has started this season, the teams combined to hit the under on the point total each time.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 16 | 15.2 | 19 | 7.47 | 0 | 7 |
| Dylan Lee | 15 | 14.1 | 17 | 3.14 | 6 | 0 |
| Jesse Chávez | 15 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Nick Anderson | 13 | 13.2 | 18 | 3.29 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 11 | 10 | 13 | 2.7 | 2 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer (2-1) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his seventh start of the season. He has a 6.67 ERA in 29 2/3 innings pitched, with 25 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up five earned runs while surrendering 11 hits.
- Kremer will try to build on a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing).
- The Orioles have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Kremer’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
- Kremer’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- Kremer has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those games.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 16 | 15.2 | 22 | 1.72 | 7 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 15 | 14.2 | 28 | 1.84 | 0 | 7 |
| Cionel Pérez | 15 | 12 | 10 | 5.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 14 | 11.1 | 16 | 2.38 | 7 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 13 | 16.1 | 16 | 2.76 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 12-1 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Atlanta has won each of its nine games this season when racking up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 21 times this season, and has a 19-2 record in those games.
- Atlanta is undefeated in the 19 games this season when it has put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 9-3 in the 12 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 9-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Baltimore has won six of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 19 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 13-6.
- Baltimore has won 16 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-1
Braves vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-217)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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