The Washington Nationals (13-18) will look to keep a three-game win streak alive when they visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-14) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday.
The Diamondbacks are favored (-185 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Nationals (+156). The total for the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 5, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -185 | +156 | 9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won five of the eight games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Arizona has played as favorites of -185 or more once this season and won that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 64.9%.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 31 games with a total this season.
- In 31 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 18-13-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (41.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has been victorious seven times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 13 of its 31 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals are 19-12-0 against the spread in their 31 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- Kelly’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, April 29, when he threw six innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
- Kelly will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- Kelly’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Kelly’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- In Kelly’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 15 | 14.2 | 15 | 4.91 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 14 | 11.2 | 19 | 2.31 | 1 | 4 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 14 | 13.1 | 10 | 3.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 13 | 12.2 | 10 | 2.13 | 5 | 1 |
| Kyle Nelson | 13 | 11.2 | 16 | 1.54 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray gets the start for the Nationals, his seventh of the season. He is 2-4 with a 2.67 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he went six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Gray will look to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in six of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those games.
- Gray’s team has won two of his six starts.
- Gray has started six contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 14 | 14.2 | 17 | 2.45 | 7 | 0 |
| Mason Thompson | 13 | 20.2 | 20 | 2.18 | 1 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 13 | 12 | 10 | 1.50 | 5 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 13 | 13 | 12 | 5.54 | 0 | 7 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 12 | 13.1 | 7 | 5.40 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 6-4 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- Arizona is 6-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 13-6 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Arizona is 13-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have gone 3-1 over the four games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the four games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won each of its four games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 10-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 7-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won four of their seven games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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