The Cleveland Guardians (14-17) host the Minnesota Twins (18-14) in AL Central play, at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Twins are the road favorite (-121) versus the Guardians (+102). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of May 5, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -121 | +102 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 16, or 76.2%, of the 21 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has a record of 15-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of 32 games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 18-14-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (45.5%) in those games.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of its 31 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 10-21-0 against the spread in their 31 games that had a posted line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, throwing 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.
- Ober has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Ober’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Ober’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Ober this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 15 | 14 | 10 | 1.29 | 5 | 2 |
| Griffin Jax | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 13 | 11.2 | 14 | 2.31 | 0 | 6 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 11 | 10 | 10 | 1.80 | 7 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 11 | 13.2 | 15 | 5.93 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Peyton Battenfield
- Battenfield makes the start for the Guardians, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 14 strikeouts over 17 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out — out of the bullpen on Sunday — the righty tossed two innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Battenfield has one start this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for one Battenfield start this season — they lost.
- Battenfield’s team has fallen in all three of his starts this season.
- Battenfield has started three games with a set total this season. His team has not hit the over in any of them.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 17 | 16.1 | 9 | 2.20 | 0 | 10 |
| James Karinchak | 16 | 15.1 | 19 | 5.87 | 6 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 14 | 12.2 | 14 | 1.42 | 4 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 11 | 10.1 | 9 | 1.74 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 11 | 14 | 15 | 0.64 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 12-1 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Minnesota has won each of its five games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 18 times this season, and has a 14-4 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 11-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in eight games this season, and are 5-3 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the four games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has gone 2-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won nine of the 15 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has a 8-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won eight of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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