The Colorado Rockies (11-20) have a 2-0 series lead and aim to sweep the Milwaukee Brewers (18-12) on Thursday at Coors Field, at 3:10 PM ET.
The Brewers are favored (-156 moneyline odds) when they take the field at the Rockies (+133). The over/under for this game is set at 12.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 4, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -156 | +133 | 12 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 19 times and won 11, or 57.9%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has entered six games this season favored by -156 or more and is 2-4 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 12 of its 30 chances.
- The Brewers are 15-15-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have come away with nine wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Colorado has won six of 19 games when listed as at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 42.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of its 31 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rockies are 12-19-0 against the spread in their 31 games that had a posted line this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley’s team is 2-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
- Miley has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Miley’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Miley’s team is 4-1 when he starts this season.
- Games Miley has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 15 | 12 | 7 | 4.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 15 | 14.2 | 9 | 1.23 | 8 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 13 | 13.1 | 11 | 2.70 | 2 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 10 | 9.1 | 14 | 0.00 | 0 | 5 |
| Bryse Wilson | 9 | 16.2 | 18 | 2.16 | 1 | 2 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Connor Seabold
- Seabold starts for the first time this season for the Rockies.
- The 27-year-old righty came out of the bullpen in his most recent outing this season, one of seven appearances so far.
- Seabold and his team had a 1-2 record in the three games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- He helped his team to a victory in 1 of the five games he pitched in last season.
- In five opportunities with a run total set by bookmakers last season, the games he appeared in hit the over two times.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bird | 15 | 22 | 22 | 3.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Lawrence | 13 | 16.1 | 15 | 1.65 | 4 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 12 | 18.1 | 15 | 0.98 | 1 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 12 | 11.1 | 17 | 3.97 | 0 | 4 |
| Dinelson Lamet | 12 | 10.2 | 13 | 12.66 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 9-2 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its three games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 13-4 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee is 13-1 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 9-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 4-1 in those matchups.
- Colorado has gone 4-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 10-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Colorado has a 8-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won three of their four games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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