Mariners vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (14-16) aim to sweep the Oakland Athletics (6-25) on Thursday at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, beginning at 3:37 PM ET.

The Athletics are a big underdog (+208 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Mariners (-250). The game’s total is 8.5.

The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 4, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -250 +208 8.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 20 times this season and won 10, or 50%, of those games.
  • Seattle has played as favorites of -250 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 71.4%.
  • Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 30 chances this season.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 14-16-0 in 30 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 15
ERA 3.24
K/9 9.6

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have won in six, or 19.4%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Oakland has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +208 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Athletics have a 32.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Oakland and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 31 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Athletics have posted a record of 13-18-0 against the spread this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 14
ERA 6.14
K/9 8.4

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby’s team is 2-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, April 27, when he threw eight innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • Kirby will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • Kirby’s team is 2-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Kirby’s team has won two of his five starts.
  • Games Kirby has started this season hit the over three times in five chances.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 17 14.2 28 4.30 3 1
Paul Sewald 16 16 21 2.81 0 8
Trevor Gott 16 15.2 16 2.30 5 0
Penn Murfee 15 13 15 1.38 1 0
Gabe Speier 14 12.1 9 0.00 4 0

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Drew Rucinski

  • Rucinski (0-1) takes the mound first for the Athletics to make his second start this season.
  • His last appearance was on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing 11 hits.
  • The Athletics were the moneyline underdog for one Rucinski start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Rucinski’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Zach Jackson 15 14 17 2.57 1 0
Sam Moll 15 11 10 3.27 1 0
Jeurys Familia 14 12.2 9 6.39 1 2
Domingo Acevedo 9 9.1 7 10.61 1 0
Adam Oller 8 19.2 13 10.07 0 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners are 6-3 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • Seattle has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 11 games this season, and is 7-4 in those contests.
  • Seattle is 10-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those contests.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They have won four of the 11 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Oakland has won one of its three games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 4-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Oakland has a 4-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 2-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mariners vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-250)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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