The Chicago White Sox (10-21) take a three-game winning streak into a matchup versus the Minnesota Twins (17-14), at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The White Sox (+123 underdog on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Twins (-144). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 4, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs White Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -144 | +123 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 20 times and won 15, or 75%, of those games.
- This season Minnesota has won nine of its 13 games, or 69.2%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of its 31 games with a total this season.
- In 31 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 17-14-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have come away with five wins in the 22 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Chicago has won four of 15 games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 31 chances this season.
- In 31 games with a line this season, the White Sox have a mark of 14-17-0 against the spread.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 6.31 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- When Lopez starts, his team is 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw six innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Lopez has five starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 6.0 innings per outing.
- When Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
- Lopez’s team has won three of his six starts this season.
- Games Lopez has started this season hit the over two times in six chances.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 14 | 13 | 10 | 1.38 | 5 | 2 |
| Jhoan Duran | 12 | 10.2 | 14 | 2.53 | 0 | 6 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 11 | 10 | 10 | 1.80 | 7 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 10 | 12.2 | 14 | 6.39 | 0 | 0 |
White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito
- Giolito gets the start for the White Sox, his seventh of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Friday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Giolito is seeking his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 innings per start.
- The White Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for four Giolito starts this season — they lost every game.
- Giolito’s team is 1-5 in his six starts.
- Giolito’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of six contests.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lambert | 15 | 14 | 21 | 6.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Gregory Santos | 15 | 16.2 | 17 | 1.62 | 1 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 14 | 12.1 | 19 | 8.76 | 1 | 3 |
| Aaron Bummer | 14 | 10 | 10 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Kendall Graveman | 13 | 12.1 | 13 | 5.11 | 6 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have racked up two or more home runs in 12 games this season, and are 11-1 in those outings.
- Minnesota has racked up at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and won every time.
- The club is 14-4 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Minnesota is 10-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in seven games this season, and are 4-3 in those contests.
White Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 2-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 2-2.
- They have won eight of the 15 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won six of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won two of their four games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. White Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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