The Toronto Blue Jays (18-13) take a four-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Boston Red Sox (18-14), at 6:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Red Sox are an underdog at home (+168) versus the Blue Jays (-200). The total for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 4, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -200 | +168 | 8.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been favorites in 22 games this season and won 13 (59.1%) of those contests.
- Toronto is 5-2 this season when entering a game favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 66.7% chance to win.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of 31 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 16-15-0 in 31 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Boston has played as an underdog of +168 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 37.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 22 of 32 chances this season.
- In 32 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 20-12-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman
- Gausman and his team have a record of 2-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
- Gausman has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Gausman’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Gausman’s team has won four of his six starts.
- In games Gausman has started this season, the teams are 2-4-0 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 15 | 14.2 | 20 | 1.84 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 14 | 12.1 | 16 | 3.65 | 0 | 9 |
| Yimi Garcia | 14 | 14.2 | 18 | 5.52 | 6 | 0 |
| Zach Pop | 14 | 13 | 13 | 4.85 | 1 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 13 | 8.2 | 8 | 1.04 | 3 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello gets the start for the Red Sox, his fourth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 6.57 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander went five innings against the Cleveland Guardians, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Bello is looking to pick up his second start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for two Bello starts this season — they split the games.
- Bello’s team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
- Bello has three starts with a total this season — his team has hit the over each time.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 15 | 14.2 | 12 | 7.98 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 15 | 14 | 17 | 2.57 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 13 | 13.2 | 9 | 5.93 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 12 | 22.1 | 17 | 1.61 | 3 | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2.00 | 5 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have a 6-3 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
- Toronto has put up at least five extra-base hits in three games this season, and won every time.
- The club is 15-7 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Toronto has an 11-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays are 4-3 over the seven games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 19 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-5.
- Boston has a 16-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-2
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+168)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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