The Atlanta Braves (20-10) visit the Miami Marlins (16-14) at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday, a game featuring two of MLB’s most consistent hitters. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an average of .362 (third in league) for the Braves, and Luis Arraez ranks first at .435 for the Marlins.
The Marlins are an underdog at home (+121) versus the Braves (-142). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 3, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -142 | +121 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 26 times this season and won 17, or 65.4%, of those games.
- Atlanta has a record of 12-3 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 30 chances this season.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 15-15-0 in 30 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.71 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 10 wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Miami has won five of 10 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 12 of its 30 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 13-17-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.44 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Kyle Wright
- Wright and his team have yet to cover the spread in any of their four chances this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he allowed two hits in three scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Wright’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-2.
- Wright’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
- In games Wright has started this season, the teams are 3-0-1 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 14 | 11 | 11 | 3.27 | 8 | 1 |
| A.J. Minter | 14 | 13.2 | 16 | 8.56 | 0 | 6 |
| Dylan Lee | 14 | 13.1 | 15 | 2.03 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 12 | 12.2 | 18 | 3.55 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 11 | 10 | 13 | 2.70 | 2 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett gets the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Thursday, the left-hander tossed three scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves while surrendering one hit.
- Garrett has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this season entering this matchup.
- The Marlins were named the moneyline underdog for two Garrett starts this season — they won both.
- All three of Garrett’s starts this season have ended in victory for his team.
- Garrett has started three contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 14 | 13.2 | 15 | 5.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Barnes | 13 | 13 | 12 | 4.15 | 1 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 12 | 17.2 | 19 | 2.55 | 4 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | 2.13 | 5 | 1 |
| A.J. Puk | 11 | 12 | 13 | 1.50 | 0 | 5 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 10-1 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Atlanta has won each of its seven games this season when racking up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 17-2 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 17-0 in games this season when it puts up five or more runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 12 games this season, and are 9-3 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami ranks 21st in the majors with a .375 slugging percentage.
- They have won 13 of the 19 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has won all seven of its games this season when scoring five or more runs.
- They have a 2-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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