The Houston Astros (16-14) host the San Francisco Giants (12-17) at 2:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Astros are a home favorite (-172) against the Giants (+146). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 3, 2023 at 11:20 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -172 | +146 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won nine, or 45%, of the 20 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston is 4-5 this season when entering a game favored by -172 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 63.2%.
- So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of 30 games with a total.
- The Astros are 15-15-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have been victorious in seven, or 38.9%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- San Francisco has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +146 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 40.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of its 29 opportunities.
- The Giants have posted a record of 12-17-0 against the spread this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.97 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez’s team is 2-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- Valdez’s team is 1-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Valdez’s team is 2-4 when he starts this season.
- In Valdez’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Montero | 14 | 13 | 18 | 2.77 | 2 | 1 |
| Bryan Abreu | 14 | 14.1 | 22 | 0.63 | 4 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 13 | 12.1 | 10 | 3.65 | 0 | 3 |
| Phil Maton | 12 | 15 | 16 | 0.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 12 | 13 | 15 | 2.08 | 2 | 1 |
Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb
- Webb makes the start for the Giants, his seventh of the season. He is 1-5 with a 4.10 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Webb will try to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing.
- The Giants were named the moneyline underdog for four Webb starts this season — they lost all of the games.
- Webb’s team has put together a 1-5 record in his six starts.
- Webb has had six starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those games finished over the total.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Rogers | 13 | 9.2 | 7 | 6.52 | 1 | 1 |
| Tyler Rogers | 13 | 15.1 | 14 | 2.93 | 4 | 1 |
| Scott Alexander | 13 | 11 | 6 | 6.55 | 1 | 0 |
| John Brebbia | 13 | 12.1 | 18 | 5.84 | 4 | 0 |
| Camilo Doval | 12 | 12 | 16 | 3.00 | 0 | 4 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have put up two or more home runs in eight games this season, and are 4-4 in those outings.
- Houston has had five or more extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those outings.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 18 times this season, and has a 14-4 record in those games.
- Houston has a 14-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in seven games this season, and are 4-3 in those contests.
Giants Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Francisco has won four of its five games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won seven of the 13 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- San Francisco has won nine of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-4
Astros vs. Giants Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-172)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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