The Cleveland Guardians (14-16) and New York Yankees (16-15) square off on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Guardians are a favorite (-121) against the Yankees (+103). The total for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of May 3, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -121 | +103 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 19 times and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
- Cleveland has entered 19 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 9-10 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Games involving Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 12 of 30 chances this season.
- The Guardians are 10-20-0 ATS in their 30 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been underdogs in six games this season, however, they have failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
- New York has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +103 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 10 of its 31 opportunities.
- The Yankees have an against the spread record of 14-17-0 in 31 games with a line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- Bieber’s team is 1-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in seven innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Friday.
- Bieber will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- When Bieber starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-3.
- Bieber’s team is 2-4 when he starts this season.
- Out of Bieber’s six starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Karinchak | 16 | 15.1 | 19 | 5.87 | 6 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Clase | 16 | 15.1 | 9 | 1.76 | 0 | 10 |
| Trevor Stephan | 13 | 12.1 | 14 | 1.46 | 4 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 11 | 10.1 | 9 | 1.74 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 11 | 14 | 15 | 0.64 | 2 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees, his seventh of the season. He is 0-3 with a 6.84 ERA and 32 strikeouts over 25 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing five earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
- Schmidt will try to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.2 innings per outing.
- The Yankees were the underdog on the moneyline for two Schmidt starts this season — they lost both.
- Schmidt’s team has compiled a 1-5 record over his six starts.
- Schmidt has had six starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 13 | 11.1 | 12 | 2.38 | 3 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 11 | 12.1 | 18 | 2.19 | 3 | 0 |
| Clay Holmes | 11 | 9.2 | 12 | 3.72 | 0 | 4 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 10 | 10.1 | 13 | 2.61 | 1 | 0 |
| Ian Hamilton | 9 | 15.2 | 19 | 1.72 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians are 3-1 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Cleveland has had five or more extra-base hits in three games this season, and has gone 2-1 in those outings.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 14 games this season, and is 9-5 in those contests.
- Cleveland has an 8-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 8-3 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 7-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York is 20th in baseball, slugging .379.
- They have a record of 9-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won eight of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won six of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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