The Chicago Cubs (15-14) visit the Washington Nationals (11-18) on Wednesday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET.
The Nationals (+166 underdog moneyline odds) host the Cubs (-197). The game’s total is set at 8.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 3, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -197 | +166 | 8 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been favorites in 16 games this season and won eight (50%) of those contests.
- Chicago has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -197.
- The Cubs have a 66.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of its 29 games with a total this season.
- The Cubs are 17-12-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.29 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won six of 12 games when listed as at least +166 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 37.6% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 13 of its 29 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread record of 17-12-0 in 29 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- Stroman’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
- Stroman has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Stroman’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Stroman has started, his team is 3-3.
- In games Stroman has started this season, the teams are 1-5-0 at hitting the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 13 | 12.1 | 16 | 6.57 | 2 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 13 | 11.2 | 20 | 1.54 | 7 | 0 |
| Michael Rucker | 13 | 11.1 | 14 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Boxberger | 12 | 11 | 9 | 3.27 | 1 | 2 |
| Keegan Thompson | 11 | 15.1 | 12 | 3.52 | 3 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin will make his first start of the season for the Nationals.
- The right-hander will make his MLB debut. He’s 26 years old.
- Irvin did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | 13 | 20.2 | 20 | 2.18 | 1 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 12 | 11 | 9 | 1.64 | 5 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 12 | 12.2 | 14 | 2.13 | 6 | 0 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 12 | 13.1 | 7 | 5.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6.55 | 0 | 6 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have put up at least two home runs in 10 games this season, and are 8-2 in those contests.
- Chicago has won each of its seven games this season when racking up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 20 games this season, and is 13-7 in those contests.
- Chicago has a 12-3 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have gone 5-3 over the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won two of the three games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 9-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 7-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 4-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-197)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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