The Boston Red Sox (17-14) will look to Connor Wong, on a two-game homer streak, versus the Toronto Blue Jays (18-12) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Fenway Park.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays (-149 on the moneyline to win) play at the Red Sox (+127). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 3, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -149 | +127 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 21 times this season and won 13, or 61.9%, of those games.
- Toronto is 9-3 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of 30 opportunities.
- In 30 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-14-0 ATS.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (43.8%) in those games.
- This season, Boston has been victorious four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 21 of its 31 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 19-12-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah
- Manoah’s team is 4-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw five innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Manoah has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Manoah’s team has won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Manoah’s team has won four of his six starts this season.
- In games Manoah has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 15 | 14.2 | 20 | 1.84 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 14 | 12.1 | 16 | 3.65 | 0 | 9 |
| Zach Pop | 14 | 13 | 13 | 4.85 | 1 | 0 |
| Yimi Garcia | 14 | 14.2 | 18 | 5.52 | 6 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 13 | 8.2 | 8 | 1.04 | 3 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta (1-2) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his sixth start of the season. He has a 5.11 ERA in 24 2/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent appearance came on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Pivetta will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per outing.
- The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Pivetta’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
- Pivetta’s team has compiled a 2-3 record in his five starts.
- Pivetta’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of five games.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schreiber | 15 | 14 | 17 | 2.57 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryan Brasier | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8.36 | 1 | 1 |
| Richard Bleier | 13 | 13.2 | 9 | 5.93 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 12 | 22.1 | 17 | 1.61 | 3 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 9 | 8.2 | 12 | 1.04 | 0 | 6 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 6-2 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Toronto has racked up at least five extra-base hits in three games this season, and won each time.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 22 times this season, and has a 15-7 record in those games.
- Toronto has an 11-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays have gone 4-3 in the seven games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won nine of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- They have won 13 of the 18 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has a 15-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-2
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+127)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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