White Sox vs. Twins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 3, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 3, 2023

The Chicago White Sox (9-21) and Minnesota Twins (17-13) meet on Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET.

The White Sox are favored at home (-123) against the Twins (+105). The over/under for this game is 7.5.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of May 3, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

White Sox vs Twins Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
White Sox -123 +105 7.5

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have been favorites in eight games this season and won four (50%) of those contests.
  • Chicago is 4-4 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
  • The White Sox have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of 30 games with a total.
  • The White Sox are 13-17-0 ATS in their 30 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 9
ERA 6.21
K/9 9.5

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have come away with two wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has come away with a win two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of its 30 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Twins are 17-13-0 against the spread in their 30 games that had a posted line this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 17
ERA 4.00
K/9 9.8

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White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease

  • Cease and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed four innings while giving up six earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • In six starts this season, Cease has lasted five or more innings four times, with an average of 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • Cease’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
  • Cease’s team has won three of his six starts this season.
  • Out of Cease’s six starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jimmy Lambert 15 14 21 6.43 3 0
Reynaldo López 14 12.1 19 8.76 1 3
Gregory Santos 14 15.1 16 1.76 1 0
Aaron Bummer 13 9.1 9 9.64 5 0
Jake Diekman 13 11.1 11 7.94 2 0

Twins Probable Pitcher – Louie Varland

  • The Twins will look to Varland (0-0) to open the game and make his second start this season.
  • The righty last pitched on Friday, April 14 against the New York Yankees, when he threw six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The Twins were named the moneyline underdog for one Varland start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Varland’s only start with a total this season went under.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jorge López 14 13 10 1.38 5 2
Griffin Jax 14 13 15 3.46 6 0
Jhoan Duran 12 10.2 14 2.53 0 6
Caleb Thielbar 11 10 10 1.80 7 0
Jovani Moran 9 11.2 14 6.17 0 0

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • The White Sox have racked up two or more home runs in seven games this season, and are 2-5 in those outings.
  • Chicago has had five or more extra-base hits in four games this season, and has gone 2-2 in those contests.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits 14 times this season, and has a 7-7 record in those games.
  • Chicago has a 5-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The White Sox have gone 2-2 in the four games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Twins Hitting Trends

  • They are 11-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Minnesota is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 14 of the 17 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Minnesota has a 10-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won four of their six games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

White Sox vs. Twins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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