The New York Mets (16-13) and Detroit Tigers (10-17) square off in the first of a three-game series on Wednesday at Comerica Park, at 1:40 PM ET. The Mets are coming off a series defeat to the Braves, and the Tigers a series loss to the Orioles.
The Mets are heavily favored (-219 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Tigers (+184). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of May 3, 2023 at 11:19 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -219 | +184 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 12, or 63.2%, of the 19 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York has played as favorites of -219 or more twice this season and won both games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 68.7% chance to win.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of its 29 games with a total this season.
- The Mets are 15-14-0 against the spread in their 29 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.14 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been victorious in nine, or 34.6%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +184 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 35.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 12 of its 27 opportunities.
- The Tigers are 14-13-0 against the spread in their 27 games that had a posted line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi
- Lucchesi has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits against the Washington Nationals.
- Lucchesi has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Lucchesi’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Lucchesi’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Lucchesi this season, the teams hit the over once.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Robertson | 12 | 13.1 | 18 | 0.68 | 2 | 6 |
| Drew Smith | 12 | 11 | 15 | 2.45 | 6 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 11 | 10 | 11 | 2.70 | 2 | 3 |
| John Curtiss | 10 | 12.1 | 7 | 4.38 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeff Brigham | 6 | 7 | 10 | 5.14 | 1 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz
- Wentz (0-3) takes the mound first for the Tigers in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 6.45 ERA in 22 1/3 innings pitched, with 20 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the lefty went 5 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Wentz will look to record his fourth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.4 innings per appearance.
- The Tigers are 1-4 in Wentz’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Wentz’s team has won one of his five starts.
- Wentz’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 13 | 13.2 | 10 | 1.32 | 7 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 1.42 | 1 | 3 |
| Chasen Shreve | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 7.84 | 2 | 0 |
| José Cisnero | 11 | 9.2 | 8 | 3.72 | 3 | 0 |
| Mason Englert | 9 | 18.1 | 16 | 4.91 | 1 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit two or more homers in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those outings.
- New York has collected at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those contests.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits 16 times this season, and has an 11-5 record in those games.
- New York has a 14-2 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They have won one of the three games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-1.
- They have won eight of the 11 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Detroit has won five of its six games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-4
Mets vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (+184)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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