Mets Vs Tigers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 3, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 3, 2023

The New York Mets (16-13) and Detroit Tigers (10-17) square off in the first of a three-game series on Wednesday at Comerica Park, at 1:40 PM ET. The Mets are coming off a series defeat to the Braves, and the Tigers a series loss to the Orioles.

The Mets are heavily favored (-219 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Tigers (+184). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of May 3, 2023 at 11:19 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -219 +184 8.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 12, or 63.2%, of the 19 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has played as favorites of -219 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 68.7% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of its 29 games with a total this season.
  • The Mets are 15-14-0 against the spread in their 29 chances this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 11
ERA 5.14
K/9 9.1

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been victorious in nine, or 34.6%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +184 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 35.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 12 of its 27 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 14-13-0 against the spread in their 27 games that had a posted line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 6
ERA 4.14
K/9 8.4

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi

  • Lucchesi has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits against the Washington Nationals.
  • Lucchesi has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Lucchesi’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Lucchesi’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Lucchesi this season, the teams hit the over once.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
David Robertson 12 13.1 18 0.68 2 6
Drew Smith 12 11 15 2.45 6 0
Adam Ottavino 11 10 11 2.70 2 3
John Curtiss 10 12.1 7 4.38 2 0
Jeff Brigham 6 7 10 5.14 1 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • Wentz (0-3) takes the mound first for the Tigers in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 6.45 ERA in 22 1/3 innings pitched, with 20 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the lefty went 5 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Wentz will look to record his fourth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.4 innings per appearance.
  • The Tigers are 1-4 in Wentz’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Wentz’s team has won one of his five starts.
  • Wentz’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 13 13.2 10 1.32 7 2
Alex Lange 13 12.2 15 1.42 1 3
Chasen Shreve 11 10.1 8 7.84 2 0
José Cisnero 11 9.2 8 3.72 3 0
Mason Englert 9 18.1 16 4.91 1 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have hit two or more homers in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those outings.
  • New York has collected at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those contests.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits 16 times this season, and has an 11-5 record in those games.
  • New York has a 14-2 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Mets have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those contests.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won one of the three games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-1.
  • They have won eight of the 11 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has won five of its six games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-4

Mets vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Tigers (+184)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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