The Cincinnati Reds (12-17) are looking for continued power from a hitter on a roll against the San Diego Padres (16-14) on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park. Nick Senzel is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Padres are favored at home (-251) against the Reds (+211). The game’s total is 9.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 2, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -251 | +211 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 19 games this season and won 11 (57.9%) of those contests.
- San Diego has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -251.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 71.5%.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of 30 opportunities.
- The Padres are 15-15-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.59 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with seven wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has been listed as an underdog of +211 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 32.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 29 chances this season.
- In 29 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 17-12-0 against the spread.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- When Wacha starts, his team is 4-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
- In five starts this season, Wacha has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 5.0 innings per appearance.
- Wacha’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Wacha has started, his team is 4-1.
- Games started by Wacha have a 3-1-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 15 | 16 | 18 | 4.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 14 | 13 | 10 | 3.46 | 5 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 13 | 13 | 17 | 0.69 | 0 | 10 |
| Luís Garcia | 13 | 12.2 | 12 | 7.11 | 6 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 11 | 16.1 | 16 | 2.76 | 3 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft makes the start for the Reds, his sixth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 2.10 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Ashcraft is aiming for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per start.
- The Reds are 2-2 in Ashcraft’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Ashcraft’s five starts, his team is 3-2.
- Ashcraft has had five starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those outings.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 13 | 13 | 15 | 4.15 | 2 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 12 | 13 | 10 | 4.15 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Young | 12 | 13.1 | 19 | 2.03 | 3 | 0 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 12 | 12.1 | 12 | 4.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Ian Gibaut | 12 | 10 | 12 | 3.60 | 3 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 6-3 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- San Diego has gone 6-1 in its seven games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 13 times this season, and has an 11-2 record in those games.
- San Diego has a 12-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 8-5 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in four games this season and are 3-1 in those matchups.
- Cincinnati is 26th in baseball with a .365 slugging percentage.
- In 17 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 8-9.
- Cincinnati has won 10 of its 12 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won five of their nine games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-251)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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