Alex Verdugo carries a two-game homer streak into the Boston Red Sox’s (16-14) game versus the Toronto Blue Jays (18-11) at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, at Fenway Park.
The Blue Jays are a favorite (-134) against the Red Sox (+113). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 2, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -134 | +113 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 20 times and won 13, or 65%, of those games.
- This season Toronto has won 10 of its 15 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 11 of its 29 chances.
- The Blue Jays are 16-13-0 ATS in their 29 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.30 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 20 of its 30 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox are 18-12-0 against the spread in their 30 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi
- Kikuchi’s team has covered the spread in each of the five opportunities this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings without allowing a run on four hits in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Kikuchi has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Kikuchi’s team has won each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Kikuchi’s team has yet to lose any of his starts this season.
- Out of Kikuchi’s five starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | 14 | 12.1 | 16 | 3.65 | 0 | 9 |
| Erik Swanson | 14 | 13.2 | 19 | 1.32 | 8 | 0 |
| Zach Pop | 13 | 12.1 | 13 | 4.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Yimi Garcia | 13 | 13.1 | 17 | 6.08 | 6 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 12 | 8 | 8 | 1.13 | 3 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- Houck makes the start for the Red Sox, his sixth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 26 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Houck will look to prolong a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
- The Red Sox were the underdog on the moneyline for two Houck starts this season — they split the games.
- Houck’s team has a 4-1 record in his starts this season.
- Houck has had five starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in three of those outings.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8.36 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 14 | 13 | 16 | 2.77 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 12 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 11 | 21.1 | 17 | 1.69 | 3 | 0 |
| Kenley Jansen | 9 | 8.2 | 12 | 1.04 | 0 | 6 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have a 6-2 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- Toronto has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season, and won every time.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 21 times this season, and has a 15-6 record in those games.
- Toronto has an 11-4 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays are 4-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 11 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has won seven of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 12-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has a 14-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won seven of their nine games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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