The New York Mets (16-13) and Detroit Tigers (10-17) square off on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Comerica Park.
The Mets are favored (-156 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Tigers (+134). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 2, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -156 | +134 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 19 times and won 12, or 63.2%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 6-2 when favored by -156 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of its 29 games with a total this season.
- In 29 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 15-14-0 ATS.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.14 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been underdogs in 26 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (34.6%) in those contests.
- Detroit has a win-loss record of 4-11 when favored by +134 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 12 of its 27 opportunities.
- In 27 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 14-13-0 against the spread.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi
- Lucchesi has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Washington Nationals, throwing 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
- Lucchesi has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Lucchesi’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Lucchesi’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Lucchesi this season, the teams hit the over once.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Robertson | 12 | 13.1 | 18 | 0.68 | 2 | 6 |
| Drew Smith | 12 | 11 | 15 | 2.45 | 6 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 11 | 10 | 11 | 2.70 | 2 | 3 |
| John Curtiss | 10 | 12.1 | 7 | 4.38 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeff Brigham | 6 | 7 | 10 | 5.14 | 1 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen
- Lorenzen gets the start for the Tigers, his fourth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Lorenzen will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.7 frames per outing.
- The Tigers have a 1-2 record in Lorenzen’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Lorenzen’s team has won one of his three starts.
- Lorenzen’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lange | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 1.42 | 1 | 3 |
| Jason Foley | 13 | 13.2 | 10 | 1.32 | 7 | 2 |
| José Cisnero | 11 | 9.2 | 8 | 3.72 | 3 | 0 |
| Chasen Shreve | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 7.84 | 2 | 0 |
| Mason Englert | 9 | 18.1 | 16 | 4.91 | 1 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 6-2 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- New York has put up five or more extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those outings.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 16 games this season, and is 11-5 in those contests.
- New York is 14-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets are 6-2 over the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in three games this season and are 1-2 in those matchups.
- In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-1.
- They have a record of 8-3 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Detroit has won five of its six games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won three of their seven games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (+134)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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