The Baltimore Orioles (19-9) and Kansas City Royals (7-22) square off in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Kauffman Stadium, at 7:40 PM ET. The Orioles are coming off a series victory over the Tigers, and the Royals a series loss to the Twins.
The Royals are an underdog (+158 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Orioles (-186). The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of May 2, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -186 | +158 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 16 games this season and won 13 (81.2%) of those contests.
- This season Baltimore has won four of its five games when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have a 65% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 28 games with a total this season.
- The Orioles have an ATS record of 16-12-0 in 28 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.40 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (25%) in those games.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win two times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +158 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 38.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of its 29 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread mark of 10-19-0 in 29 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.31 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- Wells and his team are 2-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox.
- Wells has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Wells has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- In games Wells has started, his team is 3-1.
- Games Wells has started this season hit the over one time in four chances.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Bautista | 14 | 13.2 | 25 | 1.32 | 0 | 7 |
| Bryan Baker | 14 | 14.1 | 19 | 1.88 | 6 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 13 | 10.2 | 14 | 0.84 | 7 | 0 |
| Cionel Pérez | 13 | 10.1 | 10 | 5.23 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 12 | 15.2 | 14 | 1.15 | 0 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough
- The Royals are sending Yarbrough (0-3) to the mound for his second start of the season.
- His last appearance was on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the lefty threw four innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Yarbrough start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Yarbrough’s only start with a total this season went under.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 13 | 13 | 16 | 4.85 | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 13 | 12.1 | 11 | 2.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 12 | 14 | 17 | 5.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 11 | 10.1 | 19 | 1.74 | 2 | 1 |
| Taylor Clarke | 10 | 13 | 15 | 5.54 | 1 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 7-5 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Baltimore is 4-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 17 games this season, and is 11-6 in those contests.
- Baltimore has a 14-4 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles are 6-1 over the seven games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 2-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In five games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-2.
- They have won six of the 15 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In seven games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 5-2.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-3
Orioles vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-186)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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