Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Atlanta Braves (18-9) into a matchup against Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets (15-12) at Citi Field, on Monday at 1:10 PM ET. Acuna is at .352, the third-best average in the league, while Nimmo ranks fifth at .330.
The Mets (+100 underdog moneyline odds) play at home against the Braves (-118). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of May 1, 2023 at 11:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -118 | +100 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 16 out of the 24 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has entered 22 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 16-6 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of 27 opportunities.
- In 27 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 14-13-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win three times (37.5%) in those games.
- This season, New York has come away with a win one times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of its 27 opportunities.
- The Mets are 13-14-0 against the spread in their 27 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.77 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 3-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he allowed two hits in eight scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Strider will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- Strider’s team has won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Strider and his team have won each of the five games he’s started this season.
- Out of Strider’s five starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 13 | 10.1 | 11 | 3.48 | 7 | 1 |
| A.J. Minter | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 8.53 | 0 | 5 |
| Dylan Lee | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 1.42 | 5 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 11 | 11.2 | 16 | 3.86 | 3 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 9 | 8 | 10 | 2.25 | 2 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Denyi Reyes
- Reyes starts for the first time this season for the Mets.
- The 26-year-old right-hander pitched in relief in his most recent outing this season, one of five appearances so far.
- Reyes’ team was the moneyline underdog just once in a game he pitched a season ago, and won.
- His team won the only game he appeared in last season.
- He pitched in only one game with a total last season, and the teams combined to go under.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Robertson | 11 | 11.1 | 14 | 0.79 | 2 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 11 | 9.2 | 13 | 2.79 | 6 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 11 | 10 | 11 | 2.70 | 2 | 3 |
| John Curtiss | 9 | 10.1 | 7 | 4.35 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeff Brigham | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 1.59 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 9-1 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its six games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 17 times this season, and has a 15-2 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 15-0 in games this season when it scores five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 8-3 in the 11 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 6-1 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 10 of the 14 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 14 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 13-1.
- They have won six of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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