The Philadelphia Phillies (15-13) will look to sweep the Houston Astros (14-13) at Minute Maid Park on Sunday, at 7:10 PM ET.
The Astros are favored at home (-162) against the Phillies (+138). The over/under for this game is 9.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of April 30, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -162 | +138 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 17 times this season and won seven, or 41.2%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 3-5 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -162 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 61.8% chance to win.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of 27 opportunities.
- The Astros are 14-13-0 against the spread in their 27 chances this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Philadelphia has been listed as an underdog of +138 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 42% chance of pulling out a win.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 12 of its 28 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 13-15-0 against the spread in their 28 games that had a posted line this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.70 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Jose Urquidy
- Urquidy’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 2 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- In five starts this season, Urquidy has lasted five or more innings two times, with an average of 4.4 innings per appearance.
- Urquidy’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
- Urquidy’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- In games Urquidy has started this season, the teams are 2-3-0 at hitting the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 13 | 13.1 | 21 | 0.68 | 3 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 12 | 11 | 14 | 2.45 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 4.35 | 0 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 11 | 13 | 16 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 10 | 11.1 | 13 | 2.38 | 1 | 1 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter
- Falter (0-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his sixth of the season.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners, the lefty threw six innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Falter is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
- The Phillies were the underdog on the moneyline for three Falter starts this season — they lost every time.
- Falter’s team has compiled a 1-4 record in his five starts.
- Falter’s team has fallen short of the total in each of his five starts with a total this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Domínguez | 13 | 11.1 | 12 | 6.35 | 3 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 13 | 11.2 | 15 | 3.09 | 6 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 12 | 12.1 | 24 | 0.73 | 3 | 5 |
| Connor Brogdon | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | 2.84 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 12 | 11 | 15 | 4.09 | 3 | 3 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 4-4 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Houston has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 16 times this season, and has a 12-4 record in those games.
- Houston has a 13-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros are 4-3 in the seven games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all eight of their games this year when they hit two or more home runs as a team.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-2.
- They have won 12 of the 20 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Philadelphia has won nine of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won three of their five games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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