The Atlanta Braves (18-9) visit the New York Mets (15-12) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, a game featuring two of the league’s most consistent hitters. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an average of .352 (third in league) for the Braves, while Brandon Nimmo is eighth at .330 for the Mets.
The Mets are an underdog at home (+148) against the Braves (-176). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of April 30, 2023 at 7:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -176 | +148 | 7.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 16 (66.7%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 7-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -176 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 63.8% chance to win.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 16 of its 27 chances.
- The Braves are 14-13-0 against the spread in their 27 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been victorious in three of the eight contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have placed on New York this season with a +148 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 40.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of its 27 opportunities.
- In 27 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 13-14-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.77 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he allowed two hits in eight scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Strider’s team has won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Strider and his team have won each of the five games he’s started this season.
- Out of Strider’s five starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 13 | 10.1 | 11 | 3.48 | 7 | 1 |
| A.J. Minter | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 8.53 | 0 | 5 |
| Dylan Lee | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 1.42 | 5 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 11 | 11.2 | 16 | 3.86 | 3 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 9 | 8 | 10 | 2.25 | 2 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill (3-1 with a 3.96 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday, the righty threw four innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Megill has four starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Mets were the moneyline underdog for two Megill starts this season — they split the games.
- Megill’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Megill’s starts went over the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 11 | 10 | 11 | 2.7 | 2 | 3 |
| David Robertson | 11 | 11.1 | 14 | 0.79 | 2 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 11 | 9.2 | 13 | 2.79 | 6 | 0 |
| John Curtiss | 9 | 10.1 | 7 | 4.35 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeff Brigham | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 1.59 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 9-1 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Atlanta has won each of its six games this season when racking up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 17 games this season, and is 15-2 in those contests.
- Atlanta is undefeated in the 15 games this season when it has scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 8-3 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 6-1 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 10-4 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won 13 of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In eight games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-2
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-176)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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