Two of MLB’s top hitters square off when the Atlanta Braves (18-9) and New York Mets (15-12) meet at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Citi Field. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a .352 batting average (third in league) for the Braves, while Brandon Nimmo ranks seventh at .330.
The Braves are favored (-175 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Mets (+146). The game’s over/under is 7.5.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of April 29, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -175 | +146 | 7.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 16 out of the 24 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has a record of 7-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -175 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 27 chances this season.
- The Braves are 14-13-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been victorious in three of the eight contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- New York has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +146.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 40.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 11 of its 27 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 27 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 13-14-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.77 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 3-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he allowed two hits in eight scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Strider has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Strider and his team have won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Strider’s team is undefeated in the five games he’s started this season.
- Games Strider has started this season hit the over four times in five chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 13 | 10.1 | 11 | 3.48 | 7 | 1 |
| A.J. Minter | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 8.53 | 0 | 5 |
| Dylan Lee | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 1.42 | 5 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 11 | 11.2 | 16 | 3.86 | 3 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 9 | 8.2 | 9 | 4.15 | 1 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill makes the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.96 ERA and 19 strikeouts through 25 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander threw four innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Megill will try to secure his fifth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
- The Mets were the moneyline underdog for two Megill starts this season — they split the games.
- Over Megill’s five starts, his team is 3-2.
- Megill has had five starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those games finished over the total.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | 14 | 11.1 | 11 | 4.76 | 8 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 11 | 11.1 | 14 | 0.79 | 2 | 5 |
| Drew Smith | 11 | 9.2 | 13 | 2.79 | 6 | 0 |
| Jeff Brigham | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 1.59 | 1 | 0 |
| Denyi Reyes | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 9-1 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- Atlanta has won each of its six games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 17 games this season, and is 15-2 in those contests.
- Atlanta has won each of the 15 games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves are 8-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 6-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has won four of its five games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 14 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 10-4.
- New York has won 13 of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 6-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-175)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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