The Philadelphia Phillies (14-13) will attempt to keep a three-game winning streak alive when they visit the Houston Astros (14-12) at 5:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Phillies are an underdog away (+115) at the Astros (-134). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 29, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -134 | +115 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 16 times and won seven, or 43.8%, of those games.
- This season Houston has won six of its 14 games, or 42.9%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 57.3% chance to win.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 26 chances this season.
- The Astros are 14-12-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have come away with five wins in the 11 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Philadelphia has a mark of 2-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 12 of its 27 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies are 12-15-0 against the spread in their 27 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- When Javier starts, his team is 4-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday.
- Javier will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- Javier’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Javier has started, his team is 4-1.
- Games started by Javier have a 4-1-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 13 | 13.1 | 21 | 0.68 | 3 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 12 | 11 | 14 | 2.45 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 4.35 | 0 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 10 | 11.2 | 13 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 10 | 11.1 | 13 | 2.38 | 1 | 1 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler makes the start for the Phillies, his sixth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 4.72 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 26 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when the right-hander threw six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Wheeler will look to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
- The Phillies have always been the moneyline underdog when Wheeler starts this season.
- Wheeler’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
- Wheeler’s starts went over the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 13 | 11.2 | 15 | 3.09 | 6 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 12 | 12.1 | 24 | 0.73 | 3 | 5 |
| Connor Brogdon | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | 2.84 | 1 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 12 | 10.1 | 10 | 6.97 | 3 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 12 | 11 | 15 | 4.09 | 3 | 3 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 4-4 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Houston has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 16 times this season, and has a 12-4 record in those games.
- Houston is 13-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros are 4-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all seven of their games in which they’ve hit two or more homers this season.
- Philadelphia has gone 7-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 11-8 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In nine games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 8-1.
- In five games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-2
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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