The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-8) and Washington Nationals (9-15) clash in the first of a three-game series on Saturday at Nationals Park, at 1:05 PM ET. The Pirates are coming off a series victory over the Dodgers, and the Nationals a series win over the Mets.
The Nationals play as a home underdog (+129) against the Pirates (-154). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of April 29, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -154 | +129 | 9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been favored in five games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
- Pittsburgh has played as favorites of -154 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
- Games involving Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 13 of 26 chances this season.
- The Pirates are 17-9-0 ATS in their 26 games with a spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.50 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (37.5%) in those contests.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 8-12 when favored by +129 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 11 of 24 chances this season.
- The Nationals are 15-9-0 against the spread in their 24 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.27 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- When Hill starts, his team is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in five innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
- Hill has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Hill’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Hill’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games Hill has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 12 | 12 | 12 | 3.75 | 8 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 12 | 12.2 | 9 | 2.84 | 3 | 2 |
| David Bednar | 12 | 12 | 15 | 0.75 | 0 | 8 |
| Dauri Moreta | 10 | 10 | 15 | 4.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 8 | 9.2 | 9 | 0.93 | 2 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin gets the start for the Nationals, his sixth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 26 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Minnesota Twins, the left-hander went six innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Corbin will try to build upon a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in five of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
- Corbin’s team is 2-3 over his five starts.
- Corbin’s starts hit the over on the run total four times in five games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | 11 | 19 | 17 | 1.89 | 1 | 1 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 11 | 12.1 | 7 | 5.84 | 2 | 0 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | 0.93 | 4 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 10 | 10.1 | 13 | 2.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7.00 | 0 | 5 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have hit at least two home runs in 11 games this season, and won each time.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in its eight games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 16 times this season, and has a 12-4 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 11-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates are 7-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in three games this season and are 2-1 in those matchups.
- Washington has won each of its four games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 14 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 7-7.
- Washington has won six of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won four of their seven games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-154)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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