The Atlanta Braves (17-9) visit the New York Mets (15-11) in NL East play, at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Mets play as a home underdog (+113) against the Braves (-133). The total for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of April 28, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -133 | +113 | 7.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 15, or 65.2%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has entered 17 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 13-4 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 57.1% chance to win.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of 26 games with a total.
- The Braves are 13-13-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in seven games this year and have walked away with the win three times (42.9%) in those games.
- New York has a mark of 1-2 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 11 of its 26 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets have an against the spread mark of 13-13-0 in 26 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- Fried has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Houston Astros without allowing a run.
- Fried has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Fried’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Fried’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Fried this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 13 | 10.1 | 11 | 3.48 | 7 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 1.42 | 5 | 0 |
| A.J. Minter | 13 | 12.2 | 15 | 8.53 | 0 | 5 |
| Nick Anderson | 11 | 11.2 | 16 | 3.86 | 3 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 9 | 8.2 | 9 | 4.15 | 1 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- Peterson gets the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA and 30 strikeouts over 25 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, the lefty went five innings, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Peterson will look to build on a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging five innings per outing).
- The Mets have a 1-2 record in Peterson’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Peterson’s team is 1-4 over his five starts.
- Peterson has had five starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups finished over the total.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | 14 | 11.1 | 11 | 4.76 | 8 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 11 | 11.1 | 14 | 0.79 | 2 | 4 |
| Drew Smith | 11 | 9.2 | 13 | 2.79 | 6 | 0 |
| Jeff Brigham | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 1.59 | 1 | 0 |
| Denyi Reyes | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have racked up two or more home runs in 10 games this season, and are 9-1 in those contests.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its six games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 17 times this season, and has a 15-2 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 15-0 in games this season when it puts up five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 8-3 over the 11 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 6-1 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 10 of the 14 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 14 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 13-1.
- They have won six of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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