The Minnesota Twins (15-11) are looking for another big outing from a slugger on a roll against the Kansas City Royals (6-20) on Friday at 4:10 PM ET, at Target Field. Byron Buxton is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Twins are heavily favored at home (-280) versus the Royals (+233). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of April 28, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -280 | +233 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 13 out of the 16 games, or 81.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota has played as favorites of -280 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.7% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 10 of 26 chances this season.
- In 26 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 15-11-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win six times (24%) in those contests.
- Kansas City has played as an underdog of +233 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 30% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 12 of its 26 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals are 9-17-0 against the spread in their 26 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.82 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez’s team is 1-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw four innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Lopez has made four starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 6.0 frames when he pitches.
- Lopez’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Lopez has started, his team is 2-3.
- In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 1-3-1 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 11 | 10.1 | 12 | 3.48 | 4 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 11 | 10.2 | 9 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 |
| Jhoan Duran | 10 | 9.1 | 13 | 1.93 | 0 | 5 |
| Jovani Moran | 9 | 11.2 | 14 | 6.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 8 | 7 | 8 | 2.57 | 6 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles (0-4) takes the mound first for the Royals in his sixth start of the season. He has a 4.31 ERA in 31 1/3 innings pitched, with 23 strikeouts.
- In his last outing on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, the right-hander went six innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Lyles is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per start.
- The Royals were named the moneyline underdog for five Lyles starts this season — they lost each time.
- All five of Lyles’ starts this season have ended in a loss for his team.
- Lyles has started five games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 12 | 12.1 | 16 | 5.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 11 | 9.2 | 10 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 11 | 12.2 | 14 | 5.68 | 1 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 10 | 9.1 | 17 | 1.93 | 2 | 1 |
| Scott Barlow | 9 | 9.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 10-1 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Minnesota has won each of its four games this season when racking up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 13-2 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Minnesota is 8-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in three games this season, and won every time.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in four games this season and are 2-2 in those matchups.
- In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-1.
- They have a record of 6-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City has won five of its six games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- When drawing five or more walks in a game this season, they are winless in three attempts.
Twins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-280)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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