The Miami Marlins (12-13) are looking for another big outing from a batter on a hot streak versus the Atlanta Braves (17-8) on Thursday at 12:20 PM ET, at Truist Park. Jazz Chisholm is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Marlins (+147 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Braves (-172). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of April 27, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -172 | +147 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 15 out of the 22 games, or 68.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta is 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -172 or more on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 63.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of 25 opportunities.
- The Braves are 13-12-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (43.8%) in those contests.
- This year, Miami has won two of four games when listed as at least +147 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 10 of its 25 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 10-15-0 against the spread in their 25 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Kyle Wright
- Wright and his team have not covered in any of the three games with a spread he’s started this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Houston Astros, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Wright has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- When Wright starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- Wright’s team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
- Games Wright has started this season hit the over two times in three chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 12 | 10 | 10 | 3.60 | 7 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 12 | 11.2 | 13 | 1.54 | 5 | 0 |
| A.J. Minter | 12 | 12 | 13 | 5.25 | 0 | 5 |
| Nick Anderson | 10 | 10.2 | 14 | 4.22 | 3 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 8 | 7.2 | 9 | 4.70 | 1 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett (1-0) makes the start for the Marlins, his third of the season.
- His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the lefty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Garrett will try to extend a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.8 frames per outing).
- The Marlins were named the moneyline underdog for one Garrett start this season — they won.
- His team has won both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
- Garrett’s two starts with a total this season both went under.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 11 | 11.1 | 13 | 3.97 | 0 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 10 | 15 | 16 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 10 | 10.2 | 10 | 2.53 | 5 | 0 |
| Tanner Scott | 9 | 10 | 10 | 6.30 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Barnes | 9 | 9.1 | 9 | 1.93 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit two or more homers in 10 games this season, and are 9-1 in those contests.
- Atlanta has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season, and won each time.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 17 times this season, and has a 15-2 record in those games.
- Atlanta has won each of the 15 games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 8-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 4-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Miami is 18th in the majors with a .385 slugging percentage.
- In 15 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 9-6.
- Miami has won each of its five games with five or more runs scored this season.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-172)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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