Jose Miranda leads the Minnesota Twins (14-11) into a matchup versus the Kansas City Royals (6-19) following his two-homer performance in a 12-6 defeat to the Yankees. It starts at 7:40 PM ET on Thursday.
The Royals are an underdog (+182 on the moneyline) when they visit the Twins (-213). The game’s total is set at 8.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of April 27, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -213 | +182 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 12 out of the 15 games, or 80%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota is 1-2 this season when entering a game favored by -213 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 68.1%.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of 25 games with a total.
- The Twins are 14-11-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in six, or 25%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Kansas City has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +182 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 35.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of its 25 opportunities.
- The Royals are 9-16-0 against the spread in their 25 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.55 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle
- Mahle and his team have a record of 1-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Saturday.
- Mahle’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Mahle’s team has won one of his four starts this season.
- In games Mahle has started this season, the teams are 1-3-0 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 11 | 10.1 | 12 | 3.48 | 4 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 11 | 10.2 | 9 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 |
| Jhoan Duran | 9 | 8.1 | 11 | 2.16 | 0 | 5 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 8 | 7 | 8 | 2.57 | 6 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 8 | 9.2 | 12 | 7.45 | 0 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- Greinke gets the start for the Royals, his sixth of the season. He is 0-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 27 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Greinke is aiming for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 innings per start.
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Greinke’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
- Greinke’s team has put together a 1-4 record in his five starts.
- Greinke’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of five games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 11 | 11.1 | 15 | 5.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 11 | 9.2 | 10 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 10 | 9.1 | 17 | 1.93 | 2 | 1 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 10 | 10.1 | 11 | 6.97 | 1 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 9 | 9.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit two or more homers in 10 games this season, and are 9-1 in those outings.
- Minnesota is undefeated in its four games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 14 games this season, and is 12-2 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 7-2 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins are undefeated in the three games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in four games this season and are 2-2 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 3-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 6-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In six games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 5-1.
- They have yet to win a game in three chances this season when drawing five or more walks.
Twins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-213)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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