The Baltimore Orioles (16-8) and Detroit Tigers (9-14) square off in the first of a four-game series on Thursday at Comerica Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Orioles are coming off a series victory over the Red Sox, and the Tigers a series win over the Brewers.
The Tigers play as a home underdog (+129) versus the Orioles (-151). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of April 27, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -151 | +129 | 8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have been favored 13 times and won 10, or 76.9%, of those games.
- Baltimore has entered eight games this season favored by -151 or more and is 6-2 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 60.2%.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of 24 opportunities.
- The Orioles are 13-11-0 against the spread in their 24 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.67 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have come away with nine wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Detroit has won four of 14 games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over in nine of its 23 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Tigers are 13-10-0 against the spread in their 23 games that had a posted line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson and his team are 4-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings while giving up one earned run on two hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- Gibson will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- When Gibson starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- Gibson’s team is 4-1 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Gibson have a 3-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Bautista | 12 | 11.2 | 21 | 1.54 | 0 | 5 |
| Bryan Baker | 12 | 12 | 16 | 2.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 11 | 9.2 | 12 | 0.93 | 5 | 0 |
| Cionel Pérez | 11 | 9.2 | 8 | 4.66 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 10 | 14 | 13 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz
- Wentz (0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Tigers, his fifth of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the left-hander went four innings against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Wentz is trying to pick up his third start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Wentz’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
- Over Wentz’s four starts, his team is 1-3.
- Wentz’s starts went over the run total two times in four games with a set total this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | 1.59 | 7 | 2 |
| Alex Lange | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1.64 | 1 | 2 |
| José Cisnero | 9 | 8 | 7 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Chasen Shreve | 9 | 9 | 8 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Mason Englert | 8 | 16 | 16 | 3.94 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 6-4 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has had five or more extra-base hits in four games this season, and has gone 3-1 in those outings.
- The team is 8-5 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Baltimore is 11-4 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles have drawn at least five walks in seven games this season, and are 6-1 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They are 1-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Detroit ranks 30th in baseball with a .328 slugging percentage.
- In nine games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 7-2.
- Detroit has won four of its five games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won three of their six games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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