The Arizona Diamondbacks (13-12) host the Kansas City Royals (6-18) at 3:40 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Royals are a big underdog (+230 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Diamondbacks (-276). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 26, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -276 | +230 | 8 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites four times this season and won three of those games.
- Arizona has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -276.
- The Diamondbacks have a 73.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 12 of its 25 chances.
- The Diamondbacks are 14-11-0 against the spread in their 25 chances this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 23 games this season and have come away with the win six times (26.1%) in those contests.
- Kansas City has played as an underdog of +230 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 30.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 12 of its 24 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 24 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 9-15-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 6.21 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen’s team is 4-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Gallen has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Gallen’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Gallen’s team has won four of his five starts.
- Games Gallen has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ginkel | 12 | 11.1 | 9 | 3.97 | 1 | 0 |
| Scott McGough | 11 | 11 | 11 | 4.91 | 4 | 1 |
| Kyle Nelson | 11 | 10.1 | 15 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 11 | 9.1 | 14 | 2.89 | 1 | 3 |
| Miguel Castro | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | 2.79 | 3 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough
- Yarbrough will take the mound to start for the Royals, his first of the season.
- The 31-year-old southpaw has seven appearances in relief this season.
- Yarbrough and his team dropped all six games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- He helped his team to a victory in 2 of the nine games he appeared in last season.
- In nine opportunities with a total set by oddsmakers last season, the games he appeared in hit the over four times.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 10 | 10.1 | 14 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 10 | 8.2 | 8 | 2.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 10 | 10.1 | 11 | 6.97 | 1 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 10 | 9.1 | 17 | 1.93 | 1 | 1 |
| Scott Barlow | 9 | 9.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 2 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have racked up two or more home runs in seven games this season, and are 4-3 in those contests.
- Arizona has racked up at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those outings.
- The team is 10-5 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Arizona is 10-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn at least five walks in three games this season, and are 2-1 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in four games this season and are 2-2 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 3-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 13 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 6-7.
- Kansas City has a 5-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have yet to win a game in three chances this season when drawing five or more walks.
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-276)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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