The Cincinnati Reds (9-15) have a 2-0 series lead and aim to sweep the Texas Rangers (14-9) on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park, at 12:35 PM ET.
The Rangers are projected as a close favorite (-114 moneyline odds) against the Reds (-104). The over/under for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of April 26, 2023 at 7:20 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -114 | -104 | 8.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Texas has won nine of its 14 games, or 64.3%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of 23 opportunities.
- In 23 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 13-10-0 ATS.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.8 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (31.6%) in those games.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 5-13 when favored by -104 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 13 of its 24 opportunities.
- The Reds are 15-9-0 against the spread in their 24 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 1 |
| ERA | 5.86 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray
- When Gray starts, his team is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Gray’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- In games Gray has started, his team is 1-3.
- In Gray’s four starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Hernández | 10 | 10 | 12 | 1.80 | 4 | 0 |
| Will Smith | 9 | 8.1 | 10 | 2.16 | 4 | 2 |
| José Leclerc | 9 | 8.2 | 8 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Brock Burke | 8 | 10 | 9 | 2.70 | 3 | 0 |
| Ian Kennedy | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft (2-0) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his fifth start of the season. He has a 1.87 ERA in 24 2/3 innings pitched, with 21 strikeouts.
- The righty’s last appearance came on Friday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Ashcraft will look to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
- The Reds are 1-2 in Ashcraft’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ashcraft’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
- Ashcraft has had four starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those games hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 11 | 10.2 | 12 | 2.53 | 1 | 1 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | 3.18 | 1 | 0 |
| Ian Gibaut | 10 | 8.2 | 10 | 3.12 | 2 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 10 | 11.1 | 8 | 3.97 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Young | 9 | 10 | 14 | 0.90 | 2 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have a 6-3 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- Texas has put up at least five extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 6-1 in those outings.
- The team is 13-2 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Texas has a 12-2 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rangers are 8-1 in the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the four games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati ranks 27th in baseball with a .344 slugging percentage.
- They have a record of 6-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won eight of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 3-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-114)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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