The Atlanta Braves hope to end their four-game losing run against the Miami Marlins (12-10), on Monday at 7:20 PM ET.
The Marlins (+224 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Braves (-272). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of April 24, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -272 | +224 | 7.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 12 out of the 19 games, or 63.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has played as favorites of -272 or more once this season and won that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 73.1%.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of its 22 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 10-12-0 against the spread in their 22 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with seven wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given Miami this season with a +224 moneyline set for this game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 30.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in seven of its 22 opportunities.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 10-12-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.64 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 2-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Strider will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- Strider and his team have won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Strider and his team have won each of the four games he’s started this season.
- In games Strider has started this season, the teams are 3-1-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 11 | 9 | 9 | 3.00 | 7 | 1 |
| A.J. Minter | 11 | 11 | 11 | 5.73 | 0 | 4 |
| Dylan Lee | 11 | 11.1 | 12 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 10 | 10.2 | 14 | 4.22 | 3 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 8 | 7 | 9 | 2.57 | 2 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera makes the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 4.08 ERA and 18 strikeouts over 17 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, the righty went six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Cabrera is trying for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.3 frames per start.
- The Marlins were the underdog on the moneyline for two Cabrera starts this season — they split the games.
- Over Cabrera’s three starts, his team is 2-1.
- Cabrera’s starts went over the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Floro | 9 | 10.1 | 10 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 9 | 13.2 | 16 | 3.29 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 9 | 9.2 | 11 | 3.72 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Barnes | 9 | 9.1 | 9 | 1.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanner Scott | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 6-1 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Atlanta has won each of its four games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 14 games this season, and is 12-2 in those contests.
- Atlanta is undefeated in the 12 games this season when it has put up five or more runs.
- The Braves are 6-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the five games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami ranks 19th in the majors with a .391 slugging percentage.
- In 14 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 9-5.
- Miami has won each of its five games with five or more runs scored this season.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-272)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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