The Milwaukee Brewers (15-6) will look to Rowdy Tellez, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Boston Red Sox (11-11) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday, at American Family Field.
The Red Sox are an underdog (+147 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Brewers (-174). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of April 23, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -174 | +147 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won eight of those games.
- Milwaukee has not been bigger favorites this season than the -174 moneyline set for this game.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 10 of its 21 chances.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 13-8-0 in 21 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have come away with three wins in the 10 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Boston has been listed as an underdog of +147 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 22 chances this season.
- The Red Sox are 13-9-0 against the spread in their 22 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.16 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes and his team are 2-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday.
- Burnes will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- Burnes’ team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1).
- Burnes’ team has won three of his four starts this season.
- Games started by Burnes have a 2-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 11 | 10 | 7 | 2.70 | 3 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 10 | 10 | 6 | 0.90 | 6 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Bush | 8 | 7.1 | 8 | 3.68 | 1 | 1 |
| Javy Guerra | 7 | 6.2 | 3 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello (0-1) takes the mound first for the Red Sox to make his second start this season.
- In his last time out on Monday, the right-hander tossed 2 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for one Bello start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Bello’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | 7.94 | 1 | 1 |
| Kaleb Ort | 10 | 11 | 12 | 4.09 | 1 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 10 | 10 | 13 | 1.80 | 4 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 8 | 8.1 | 6 | 7.56 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 8 | 16.1 | 15 | 1.65 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have won all of the eight games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its three games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 11-3 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee has won all of the 11 games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers are 8-1 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 5-2 in those matchups.
- In five games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-1.
- In 11 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 7-4.
- Boston has won nine of its 12 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In six games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 4-2
Brewers vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-174)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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