The New York Mets (14-7) are looking for continued power from a slugger on a hot streak versus the San Francisco Giants (6-13) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET, at Oracle Park. Pete Alonso is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Giants are favored at home (-129) against the Mets (+111). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of April 22, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Giants vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | -129 | +111 | 8.5 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have won one of the six games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Francisco has a record of 1-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
- The Giants have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of its 19 games with a total this season.
- The Giants are 6-13-0 ATS in their 19 games with a spread this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.89 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with three wins in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, New York has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in nine of 21 chances this season.
- The Mets are 13-8-0 against the spread in their 21 games that had a posted line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb
- Webb and his team have not covered in any of the four games with a spread he’s started this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Webb has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Webb has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
- Webb’s team is winless in the four games he’s started this season.
- In games Webb has started this season, the teams are 2-1-1 at hitting the over.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Rogers | 9 | 5.2 | 3 | 11.12 | 1 | 1 |
| John Brebbia | 9 | 7 | 10 | 6.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Scott Alexander | 8 | 7.1 | 5 | 1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Rogers | 8 | 9.1 | 7 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sean Hjelle | 7 | 11 | 16 | 7.36 | 0 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- Peterson (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his fifth start of the season. He has a 6.10 ERA in 20 2/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.
- His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the left-hander threw six innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Peterson will look to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
- The Mets were the moneyline underdog for two Peterson starts this season — they split the games.
- Peterson’s team has a 1-3 record in his starts this season.
- Peterson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of four games.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | 11 | 9 | 8 | 4.00 | 8 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 10 | 8.2 | 12 | 2.08 | 6 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 9 | 8 | 9 | 2.25 | 2 | 3 |
| David Robertson | 9 | 9.1 | 10 | 0.96 | 2 | 4 |
| Tommy Hunter | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
Giants Hitting Trends
- The Giants have a 5-3 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- San Francisco has won each of its three games this season when racking up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits seven times this season, and has a 3-4 record in those games.
- San Francisco has a 5-4 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Giants have drawn at least five walks in six games this season, and are 3-3 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 6-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In four games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 3-1.
- They have a record of 9-2 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 13 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 12-1.
- They have won six of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Giants vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (+111)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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